Key details from this draw:
✅ Cut-off score: 705
✅ ITAs issued: 676
In the previous PNP draw on November 18, only 174 ITAs
were issued. This time, the number has returned to the usual range for
PNP-specific ITAs with 676 issued.
In November, there were a total of six draws,
resulting in 5,507 ITAs being issued. This is the third-lowest monthly total
for 2024, following 1,499 ITAs in June and 3,280 in January. Notably, there
were no draws at all in November 2023.
The reason for providing this data is to emphasize how
unpredictable IRCC's EE draws have become.
In December 2023, a total of 15,045 ITAs were issued.
It remains to be seen how this December will unfold.
Insights and
Observations:
- Selection Trends After July
Generally, draws from July onwards are thought to
reflect planning for the following year.
- From July to December 2023, 47,118 ITAs were
issued.
- This year, as of today’s draw, a total of 52,888
ITAs have already been issued.
While it
might seem logical to assume that higher ITAs this year mean fewer selections
next year and potentially higher cut-off scores, such assumptions might be too
simplistic.
- Higher ITA Numbers Explained
- One reason for the increased ITAs is the higher
cut-off scores. Many candidates receiving ITAs are unable to secure PR
due to failing to meet the documentation requirements, leading to a rise
in refusals. This has prompted IRCC to issue more ITAs to maintain intake
targets.
- Looking Ahead to 2025
While Canada plans to reduce total immigration numbers next year, EE-based programs are unlikely to see reductions. On the contrary, there’s a good chance more ITAs will be issued, providing a basis for potential cut-off score decreases.
- LMIA Trends
LMIA applications have significantly decreased since late September. This could mean fewer candidates receiving the 50 immigration points granted through LMIAs, which may also contribute to lowering cut-off scores.
Key Focus of IRCC
IRCC continues to prioritize candidates already in
Canada, particularly those with Canadian work experience or study permits.
Advice for Candidates:
- For those already in Canada: Take advantage of
your situation and focus on maximizing your chances.
- For those outside Canada aiming for PR: Consider
coming to Canada on a study permit or work permit to improve your
prospects.
Canada remains committed to selecting candidates with
experience or a connection to the country, so strategizing accordingly is
crucial for success.
If you have any questions about Canadian immigration,
please contact GS Consulting. ☎️
⚡One & Only Consulting, GS Consulting⚡
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